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What is MMM (Marketing Mix Modelling)?

Short answer

Marketing Mix Modelling (MMM) is a statistical technique that decomposes sales, revenue or profit into the incremental contribution of every marketing channel and non-marketing driver, so you can measure ROI and reallocate budget with confidence.

The idea in one paragraph

MMM fits a regression (usually Bayesian in 2026) with your KPI on the left-hand side and every plausible driver on the right: media spend by channel, price, distribution, promotions, weather, macro, competitor activity. The model separates a slow-moving base from the incremental contribution of each driver. Divide contribution by cost and you have channel ROI.

Why it exists

Platform reporting and last-click attribution double count, ignore offline media, and cannot see cannibalisation between channels. MMM is the only method that measures TV, out-of-home, sponsorship and brand alongside digital in a single, consistent framework - and the only method a CFO will sign a budget off against.

What good looks like in 2026

Weekly data, two to three years of history, Bayesian priors informed by geo-experiments and lift tests, adstock and saturation modelled per channel, and monthly refreshes feeding a scenario tool. If your MMM is annual, uncalibrated and delivered as a slide deck, it is a legacy MMM - not a decision system.

What MMM does not do

MMM does not tell you which creative won, which audience clicked or which keyword converted. Pair it with incrementality tests, brand tracking and platform diagnostics for the tactical layer.

See how twenty10 puts this into practice

Bayesian MMM, calibrated with experiments, refreshed monthly, delivered as a decision system.

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