Guide

Marketing Mix Modelling

Short answer

Marketing Mix Modelling (MMM) is a statistical technique that decomposes sales, revenue or profit into the incremental contribution of every marketing channel and non-marketing driver, so you can measure ROI and reallocate budget with evidence.

The idea in one paragraph

MMM fits a regression, usually Bayesian in 2026, with a KPI (sales, revenue, profit) on the left and every plausible driver on the right: media spend by channel, price, distribution, promotions, weather, macro, competitor activity. The model separates a slow base from the incremental contribution of each driver. Divide contribution by cost and you have channel ROI.

Why MMM exists

Platform reporting and last-click attribution double count, ignore offline media, and cannot see cannibalisation between channels. MMM is the only method that measures TV, out-of-home, sponsorship and brand alongside digital in one consistent framework: and the only method a CFO will sign a budget off against.

What good MMM looks like in 2026

Weekly data, two to three years of history, Bayesian priors informed by geo-experiments and lift tests, adstock and saturation modelled per channel, and monthly refreshes feeding a scenario tool. If your MMM is annual, uncalibrated and delivered as a slide deck, it is a legacy MMM: not a decision system.

What MMM does not do

MMM does not tell you which creative won, which audience clicked or which keyword converted. Pair it with incrementality tests, brand tracking and platform diagnostics for the tactical layer.

FAQs

Is MMM the same as media mix modelling?

Yes. Marketing mix modelling, media mix modelling and market mix modelling all refer to the same technique.

How much data do I need for MMM?

Ideally 2-3 years of weekly data across all channels and a KPI, plus context on price, distribution and promotions.

See how twenty10 puts this into practice

Bayesian MMM, calibrated with experiments, refreshed monthly, delivered as a decision system.

Explore our solutions